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AI Breakdown · January 10, 2024 · 20m

DeepSeek and the Rise of Chinese Open-Source AI

Nathaniel Whittemore

Whittemore examines China's DeepSeek models — open-source AI that matches Western models at a fraction of the training cost. What this means for the AI race, open-source dynamics, and Western AI policy.

Highlights

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Chinese AI development is progressing faster than Western policymakers assume
Whittemore: Western AI policy assumes a durable lead over China. DeepSeek's performance at a fraction of the cost suggests the lead may be smaller and more fragile than policymakers believe.
ClaudeChatGPTGemini
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Open-source AI models create irreversible proliferation — once released, capabilities cannot be recalled
Whittemore: DeepSeek releasing weights publicly means that near-GPT-4 capabilities are now permanently available to anyone. This is an irreversible proliferation event that changes the safety calculus.
ClaudeChatGPTGemini