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The Art of Manliness · July 26, 2023 · 62m

Neil Howe on the Fourth Turning and Cyclical History

Neil Howe presents his theory that American history moves in 80-100 year cycles, with each cycle ending in a 'Fourth Turning' crisis (Revolutionary War, Civil War, WWII, and now...). We are in the crisis period now.

Canon

Howe describes how each generational archetype looks to previous generations' heroes for models: today's young men look to WWII veterans and Founding Fathers for models of civic virtue and sacrifice.

Highlights

History is cyclical, not linear — the same generational dynamics produce similar crises roughly every 80 years
Howe presents data showing that roughly every 80-100 years, a crisis period reshapes American institutions: the Revolution (1770s), Civil War (1860s), Depression/WWII (1930s-40s), and the current crisis (2020s).