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Cognitive Revolution · September 15, 2025 · 80m
AI Scouting Report: Q3 2025
Nathan Labenz's quarterly deep dive into the state of AI capabilities, testing frontier models hands-on and mapping where the technology is accelerating versus plateauing.
Canon
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Labenz observes that each AI capability breakthrough generates excitement for days before becoming the new baseline expectation, creating an adaptation treadmill in the AI community.
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Both AI hype and AI doom narratives spread faster than accurate technical assessments. The truth about AI capabilities is boring compared to either extreme.